D Isagreement Is Unpredictable

نویسنده

  • Robin Hanson
چکیده

Given common priors, no agent can publicly estimate a non-zero sign for the difference between his estimate and another agent’s future estimate. Thus rational agents cannot publicly anticipate the direction in which other agents will disagree with them.  2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Comparing the Knee Joint Kinematic Parameters of Female Athletes During Sidestep Cutting Task Before and After Fatigue in Predictable and Unpredictable Settings

Objective: Anterior cruciate ligament injury is often non-traumatic and occurs in landing and cutting following an incorrect knee joint alignment. The present study aimed to compare the knee joint kinematic parameters of adolescent female athletes during sidestep cutting maneuver before and after fatigue in predictable and unpredictable settings. Methods: This is a quasi-experimental study con...

متن کامل

Unpredictable strings are collectives

In [Z] we defined the notion of an “inference method” which given a finite binary string guesses its continuation. We showed that a special class of these inference methods could be used to construct a very general theory of confirmation. In this paper we investigate the class of strings which are unpredictable with respect to these inference method-that is, infinite strings which are such that...

متن کامل

Introducing a New Model for Individual Cognitive Factors Influencing Human Error Based on DEMATEL Approach

Background and Objectives: The recognition of a system failure causes and their related factors are considered as the most important factor in preventing accident occurrence in different organizations including industries. Human error is a known important factor in unpredictable events of which cognitive factors are the most influential ones. The purpose of this study was to introduce a new mod...

متن کامل

Antidepressant effects of hydroalcoholic extract of Alpinia officinarum rhizome on chronic unpredictable stress induced depression in BALB/c mice

Background: Alpinia officinarum is an aromatic plant that show some neuroprotective functions in animal models. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the antidepressant effects of hydroalcoholic extract of A. officinarum rhizome using two behavioral models. Methods: Forty male BALB/c mice were randomized to four groups. All studygroups underwent three weeks of daily chronic unpredictable str...

متن کامل

Cortical Activity During Postural Recovery in Response to Predictable and Unpredictable Perturbations in Healthy Young and Older Adults: A Quantitative EEG Assessment

Introduction: To investigate the effects of predictable and unpredictable external perturbations on cortical activity in healthy young and older adults. Methods: Twenty healthy older and 19 healthy young adults were exposed to predictable and unpredictable external perturbations, and their cortical activity upon postural recovery was measured using a 32-channel quantitative encephalography. Th...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002